Sunny Forecast for 2006
Many continue to speculate on the real estate market for 2006, some seeing the glass half empty and others seeing it half full. While home prices took a typical seasonal drop from October to November, “Southern California home sales remained at near-record levels in November as prices climbed to new heights…” reports DataQuick Information Systems. The medium priced home in San Diego rose 6.4% to $518,000 from one year ago. Experts believe the home prices continue to climb as a result of the continued demand and expected rise in interest rates.
However, 9.5% fewer homes sold in November 2005 (3,937) compared to November 2004 (4,350). Along with the holiday season, the slowing number of sales may be responsible for the increased number of homes on the market.
Even though San Diego home prices have slowed compared to other Southern California areas, it still remains the third highest behind Orange County ($616,000) and Ventura ($612,000).
What about the rest of California? The California Association of Realtors (CAR) reports the median price home in California is at $548,400 in November 2005, up 16.2% from one year ago; however, they also report an 11.2% decline in the number of homes sold.
So is the bubble ready to burst? The experts at DataQuick do not see any signs of distress in the market. “Foreclosure activity is edging up from the bottom, but is still low. Down payment sizes are stable, as are flipping rates and non-owner occupied buying activity.” So barring any unexpected events or economic recession, the forecast for San Diego’s real estate market in 2006 is sunny with slow but steady price growth.