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Last Updated: 11/18/2009

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Gender: Male
Status: Single
Age: 37
Sign: Libra

City: Austin
State: Texas
Country: US
Signup Date: 12/20/2005

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Monday, October 27, 2008 

Category: News and Politics
We all saw the anchorpeople battling the 120 MPH winds in Galveston, but very little coverage was given during or after Hurricane Ike to Southeast Texas, the area that was the hardest hit by Ike's storm surge.  Ike pushed up 14 feet of water into the Port Arthur/Orange area.  The city of Port Arthur and its suburbs (including Port Neches, my home town) were spared from the surge only because of Port Arthur's 15-foot hurricane protection levee.  This levee, built in the 1960's after Hurricane Carla, had never been tested until Ike (Hurricane Rita, which brought Category 3 winds to the area in 2005, had very little storm surge.)

However, while Port Arthur escaped major damage, areas outside the levee were completely devastated, particularly the town of Bridge City, Texas, in which 3000 homes are still unlivable.  Another 1000 homes are unlivable in the surrounding county, but to date, FEMA has delivered only a handful of trailers to these people despite thousands of requests.  Those who can't find shelter with their relatives are forced to live in tents, because all of the apartments and hotels in the area are completely full.

To make matters worse, Michael Chertoff has proven once again his ineptitude, lack of compassion, and complete lack of ability to organize anything larger than your average church bake sale.  Not only did he blow off a tour of the damage, but his agency was later quoted as saying that anyone who was still living in tents in Orange County was choosing to do so.

This is nuts.  Have we learned nothing from Katrina?  Does it take CNN going down there and filming the devastation for any action to be taken at the federal level?  Everyone is making such a big deal about Joe the Plumber, but at least Joe the Plumber has a house.

Write your state and federal Congresspeople.  Write the governor.  Write CNN.  Write both presidential candidates.  America deserves better than this.

Friday, January 19, 2007 

Category: Music
If you've used one of the plethora of online music stores which have popped up in the past couple of years, then you probably know what "Digital Rights Management" (DRM) is.  DRM is the technology that prevents someone else from playing your purchased tracks on their computer or portable music player.  But the problem is that DRM can also prevent you from playing your purchased tracks on your own portable music player.

Files you purchase from any online music store are "locked."  They are encrypted and can only be played by a music player that understands how to decrypt them.  And all of the current encryption mechanisms are proprietary and incompatible with each other.  Apple's version of DRM is called "FairPlay," and it is only compatible with iTunes and the iPod.  Apple won't license the technology to other vendors, and even if they did, it's doubtful that the other vendors would adopt it as long as the technology remains solely under Apple's control.  So this means that any tracks you purchase from the iTunes Music Store can only be played by iTunes (or another QuickTime-based media player) or on an iPod.  Microsoft uses their own brand of DRM, and unlike Apple, Microsoft's DRM is licensed to other vendors under a program called "PlaysForSure."  Most online music stores, apart from iTunes, sell Windows Media Audio files which are compliant with the PlaysForSure specification.  But, with the release of the Zune portable music player, Microsoft inexplicably abandoned PlaysForSure in favor of a new, incompatible DRM technology that only works with the Zune.  This left users who had purchased collections of songs which used the previous PlaysForSure encryption -- not to mention most online music stores, including Microsoft's own MSN Music Store -- high and dry.  Songs encrypted with  the older DRM specification won't play on the Zune, and Microsoft isn't licensing the newer DRM specification.  At least Apple is nice enough to make sure that songs you purchased using an older iTunes version will play on current iTunes versions or iPods.  But the reverse is not true-- you cannot play a song purchased in iTunes version 7, for instance, on a computer running iTunes version 4.

This leads me to my main point, which is that when a technology gets in the way of a user doing what they want, the user will generally either find a way to bypass the technology, or they will simply not use the technology.

Let's take an example:  most new car stereos, DVD players, and other consumer audio devices can play "MP3 CD's", which are simply data CD's that contain a bunch of MP3 files.  MP3 is an open standard for compression of digital music.  Generally, it can reduce the size of a digital audio track by 8 to 10 times, meaning that a CD which used to hold only 10  or 12 tracks can now hold 100 or more.  And on most stereo equipment, there is no perceivable loss of sound fidelity incurred by compressing the track as an MP3 file (assuming that you use a high enough compression quality.)

But if I have one of these now-ubiquitous MP3 players, where do I find MP3's to put on it?  Moderately geeky individuals may have already converted their old CD collections into MP3's.  Even geekier individuals (like me) may have taken the time to burn these MP3's onto data CD's so that they can have 9 hours of uninterrupted music on long car trips.  But honestly, most people don't have the time or the energy to do this.  And what about new music?  If I buy a new CD, I can "rip" it into MP3's and transfer those MP3's to my music player, but that's a bit of a pain.  And if I buy music from iTunes or another music store, I'm SOL.  I can't play that purchased music on my MP3 player.  I have to have an iPod or a Zune or whatever music player is compatible with the music store's proprietary DRM format.

If I'm a really ultra-geeky user, then I can probably find one of the "DRM cracker" programs out there which unlocks the DRM encryption on my purchased songs, allowing me to convert them to MP3 files which can be played anywhere.  And you'd think that I would be perfectly within my legal rights to convert a song that I purchased from an online music store into an unprotected MP3 file.  This should fall under the "fair use" clause of the U.S. Copyright Act.  This should be the modern equivalent of making a cassette tape from a CD I purchased.  But thanks to the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), defeating any Digital Rights Management scheme is now illegal.  So even if my intent is only to convert a song I purchased into an MP3 file so I can play it on my own MP3 player, technically I am breaking the law if I do this.

So is it any wonder that the CD is still the preferred format for digital music?  It's just too cumbersome to deal with online music purchases, unless you have an iPod (or now, a Zune) that can play the files directly.  If someone likes most of the songs on the CD, they'll probably go ahead and buy the CD.  If they don't, then they'll sneak a copy of the CD from a friend or illegally download the tracks they like from a file sharing service or, perhaps, buy them from a slightly suspect overseas MP3 store.  CD's and file sharing are still the most popular ways to acquire digital music, and maybe this is because current online music stores prevent the users from doing what they really want to do with their purchased music.

Music afficionados mostly don't mind paying a buck for a song they like, but they don't want to be locked in to playing that song only on certain devices either.  They want to have the same rights with the downloaded song that they would have if they purchased it on a CD.  That means burning as many CD copies as they want.  That means playing the song on any music player, portable or otherwise.

This may come as a surprise, but unlike so many other technology gadflies, I am not necessarily anti-DRM.  But I think that three things need to happen to DRM before it stops becoming a swear word in the mouths of users:

1) DRM should not restrict the fair use rights of the user.  Rather than preventing the user from copying their music as they see fit, DRM technology should instead simply assure that any copy is always traceable back to the user that purchased the music.  All existing DRM schemes can already do this, but there is in fact another technology, digital watermarking, that could achieve the same ends without using DRM at all.  When a user purchased an MP3 from an online store, it would contain a digital watermark that is embedded into the audio data.  The watermarks do not affect the perceived sound quality, they are very difficult to remove (if not impossible, at least for most users), and they follow the audio wherever it may go, including onto a CD.  The user can make as many CD's as they like, but the knowledge that their name is attached to each one will be a deterrant to giving the CD's away.  Of course, someone will probably figure out a way to remove the watermarks eventually, just like they've figured out how to remove DRM encryption.  But most people won't bother.  The idea isn't to make the purchased music 100% secure from piracy -- that's a pipe dream.  The idea is to make the users think twice about where and how they're copying their music.

2) If DRM is used, then it should be an open standard.  That means that Apple and Microsoft (and anyone else who wants to play) need to sit down in a room and agree on a DRM scheme that is strongly encrypted and traceable to the purchasee but also open enough to preserve fair use rights.  Or maybe they can just agree to use the one that Sun has already developed ...  Then they need to use this format for all new music purchases, provide a tool to convert all old music purchases into the new format, and license the format for free to any manufacturers of music players.

3) Breaking a DRM scheme for the purposes of preserving your fair use rights should *not* be illegal.  Record companies and IT companies currently try to hide behind the DMCA and use it to prevent the spread of DRM cracking software domestically, but since most of that software is hosted on overseas web-sites, they have not been too successful in this endeavor.  Apple has played a constant game of leap-frog with the iTunes DRM cracker, and this game of leap-frog has been partly to blame for making songs purchased with newer iTunes versions incompatible with older versions.  Maybe Apple would be more successful in curbing the use of DRM crackers if users didn't feel like they had to break the law to get back fair use rights that never should've been taken away from them to begin with.

Most music piracy occurs in one of two ways:

1) CD copying.  Digital Rights Management or watermarking can do nothing to curb this, but if people feel less "locked in" by purchasing music from online stores, then they will be more likely to purchase from such stores and less likely to buy CD's.  Someone will think twice about giving a purchased track to their friend if their name is embedded in the track.  But that same person wouldn't think twice about copying a CD they purchased.  It's not that people want to break the law, but with CD's, there is nothing to remind them that they are breaking the law by sharing the CD.  People don't choose CD's over online music purchases because they want to pirate the CD.  They choose CD's over online music purchases because the CD's are more flexible -- they can be played anywhere.  Give the users back some of this same flexibility with online music purchases, and you will gain some control over piracy.

2) File sharing.  People primarily obtain songs from illegal and pseudo-legal sources because they want just a single song and they don't want to have to buy the whole CD.  They would probably just as soon pay a buck and purchase the song from a music store, but the music store may not have the file they want, or (more likely) the music store isn't compatible with their music player of choice.  Lest it be forgotten, the MP3's on file sharing services come from CD's.  If more people buy from online music stores, where the tracks are traceable to the people who bought them, then fewer tracks will end up on file sharing services.  But in order for that to happen, the music stores have to give the users back their fair use rights and allow them to copy the tracks to any device they choose.

Guilt is already the principal source of copy protection for most consumer software in use today.  Back in the 1980's, software copy protection technology was popular, and some software publishers would even go so far as to use special disk formats which prevented the disks upon which their software was distributed from being copied.  But, of course, this also prevented honest users from making backup copies.  Many of them lost hundreds or thousands of dollars when their disk drives ate software that they couldn't back up.  So, in response to this, many software programs were developed which did nothing but crack these disk copy protection schemes.  In short, the industry took away the users' fair use rights, and the users figured out how to get them back -- with a vengeance.

Eventually, the users screamed loud enough and the software industry got tired of constantly playing leap frog with the cracking programs.  In the 1990's, software developers figured out how to embed a form of digital rights management into their software:  the registration key.  You need a valid registration key to unlock all of the features of the software, and once you unlock these features, the software is then traceable back to the person who purchased it.  Sure, there are those with too much time on their hands who crack registration keys, but for the average user who's just trying to get their work done, a traceable registration key is sufficient deterrant to keep them from sharing their purchased software with their friends or uploading it to the Internet.  Users have little impetus to bypass this DRM scheme, because the scheme does not restrict their fair use rights.  However, enter Microsoft, whose latest take on the "registration key" is a lot more intrusive.  Now when I buy a new computer, I can't take the version of Windows I had installed on my old computer and install it on the new.  This is a restriction of fair use rights, and it serves no purpose other than the tick off the honest users.  The dishonest users will always find ways around it.

Making piracy more difficult has, historically, done little or nothing to curb it.  It only makes the pirates more vehement.  But the goal with DRM and other music protection schemes should not be to prevent piracy among hackers.  It should be to reduce piracy among otherwise honest individuals.  Generally, the reasons why honest people pirate music have a lot to do with (a) the restriction of fair use rights and (b) the lack of perceived value.  Most CD's are, quite honestly, not worth $10.  Some songs are not even worth the $1 you pay on iTunes.  But users would be a lot more willing to pay that $1 if they knew the song could be played anywhere.  Most people would rather pay a buck for an MP3 that they know has no skips, has the proper title and artist data, etc., rather than spend 20 minutes trying to find an error-free copy of that song on a file-sharing service.

The user community vehemently supports the development of DRM crackers, because these tools restore the fair use rights which never should've been taken away to begin with.  But if the fair use rights are a feature of the DRM scheme, then cracking it becomes solely an exercise in piracy.  The thought of crossing over this line that separates civil disobedience from true criminal activity is a sufficient deterrant for most and will relegate this form of piracy into the same dark alleys in which software pirates currently run.  But right now, because the music industry is not selling the users what they want, otherwise honest users are often resorting to piracy to get it.

Restoring fair use rights by using a new, open, industry standard DRM format -- or using a technology, such as digital watermarking, which eliminates the need for DRM altogether --will go a long way toward preventing the spread of pirated music.  But before this can happen, the music industry, the IT industry, and the end users need to reach some common ground.  The end users need to accept that some form of DRM or other protection is probably going to be necessary and inevitable to move the industry forward, and "DRM" doesn't necessarily have to be a dirty word if it's done the right way.  The IT and music industries need to accept that the harder they fight to restrict fair use, the harder the user community will fight to get it back.  If a Digital Rights Management scheme takes away the users' fair use rights, then the users will figure out how to circumvent the technology or will spend their dollars on older technologies (CD's) which don't restrict their rights.  Or the users will choose to spend their dollars not at all (by downloading tracks illegally.)  In order to replace the CD as a universal music format, the music industry is going to have to replace it with another universal music format.  The industry has the opportunity to make this format slightly more restrictive -- adding the ability to trace the purchased music back to the purchasee, for instance.  But if it is too restrictive or it is not universal, then users won't buy it.

Wednesday, May 17, 2006 

Category: News and Politics
What if a 24-hour news network devoted a proportional amount of its programming day to reporting on things that kill the most Americans each year?

During that 24-hour period, we'd see:

Nearly 7 hours of reports about heart disease, obesity, and fast food
5 1/2 hours of reports on cancer and tobacco
1 1/2 hours of reports about strokes
1 hour, 40 minutes on lung diseases, the flu (*not* Bird Flu, just the regular garden variety), and pneumonia
About 40 minutes on diabetes
35 minutes of reporting on Alzheimer's Disease
30 minutes on car accidents
About 20 minutes devoted to falls and poisonings and other household accidents
About 20 minutes of reports about suicides
About 10 minutes of reports about murders
2 1/2 minutes on drownings
2 1/2 minutes about fires
60 seconds about train and bus wrecks
30 seconds about accidental gun deaths
1 second of reporting about terrorism, both domestic and international
Not even a single second about plane crashes

Monday, December 26, 2005 

Category: Religion and Philosophy
The debate over Evolution vs. Intelligent Design gains steam, and I continue to see more and more articles written on the subject in the days following the Dover decision.  While I generally think that blogging about one's own personal opinions is somewhat narcissistic, as a scientist I find it harder and harder to remain mute on this issue.  The thing that I most want to scream at the talking heads on the TV and the innumerable faceless bylines of the print and digital media is, "Since when does Evolution imply the non-existence of God?"  As with many other grandiose debates that have come before the public forum in the past five years, the debate about ID vs. Evolution has been unnecessarily framed in binary terms.  If you're for Evolution, then you must be against God.  Richard Land, president of the Southern Baptist Convention's Ethics and Religious Liberty Commission, even went so far as to lump Evolution into what he called a "half-century secularist reign of terror," implying that anything which does not explicitly include God must be implicitly against God.

Whoa ...  Let's back up a second there, Rich.  It's not as if scientists have "disprove God" on their things-to-do list for today.  Science itself is quite mute on the subject of God, and rightfully so.  Because to a scientist, there's a big difference between "knowing" something to be true and "believing" something to be true.  In science, something can only be "known" if it passes a rigorous series of tests called the "Scientific Method."  If I observe an unexplained phenomenon, then I can formulate a "hypothesis" to attempt to explain the phenomenon.  But before my hypothesis can become a "theory" to explain the phenomenon, the hypothesis must pass three additional steps in the Scientific Method.  I must first be able to imagine other observable phenomena whose existence could either confirm or deny my hypothesis.  Then I must develop an experiment or a series of experiments which show how the initial phenomenon and its secondary phenomena can be produced under controlled conditions -- in addition to showing how those phenomena would *not* be produced if the conditions were removed.  And that's not all ...  Other peers in my field must be able to reproduce my results.

If my poor little hypothesis survives all of this rigor, then it will eventually graduate to a "theory."  Even then, a theory often has a long and hard road ahead of it before it can become an accepted theory.  An accepted theory is  as close as you can get to a "fact" in this world.  Is it irrefutable?  Well, no, because anything can be refuted if you try hard enough.  People still claim that the Earth is flat, after all.  But in order to become an accepted theory, a theory must have amassed a large amount of experimental evidence to support its truthfulness, all with no major wrinkles being discovered.  No accepted theory is without its wrinkles.  Einstein's Theory of Relativity is an accepted theory which NASA uses on a daily basis to do their work.  But it still has wrinkles.  Not all observable phenomena in the universe can be explained by Relativity, so new hypotheses have to be formulated to deal with the phenomena that Relativity cannot explain.  Quantum Mechanics is similarly not without its wrinkles, but if it were grossly untrue, then semiconductors wouldn't work, and I wouldn't be typing to you on a computer right now.  Eventually, both of those theories will likely be shown to be only part of a larger theory that explains even more phenomena.  But discovery of this larger theory does not invalidate Relativity and Quantum Mechanics.  It simply fills in the gaps left by those earlier theories.  String Theory is a good candidate for the larger theory, but it is not an "accepted theory" just yet.

Evolution is, however, a very well accepted theory.  It has amassed a huge body of evidence in support of it, with few wrinkles.  Does it explain everything?  No.  But it has passed the rigors of the Scientific Method over and over again.  Ultimately, Evolution may be proven to be part of a larger theory, but in order for it to be disproven, there must be a competing theory that not only explains everything that Evolution explains but explains *more*.  And the competing theory must of course pass the rigors of the Scientific Method before we can reasonably discuss it in a scientific context.

I go to all of this trouble to describe why Evolution is a "theory" so I can point out that Intelligent Design is *not* a theory.  ID is a hypothesis.  ID is a possible explanation for the complexity observed in nature.  In order for it to become a theory, ID advocates would first need to come up with other secondary phenomena that could be observed if ID was true ... phenomena that would *not* be observed if ID was false.  A good example might be a tiny watermark on the human genome that read "I Made This -- G."  In other words, before ID can be taken seriously as a scientific concept, a phenomenon must be discovered which only ID can explain and other existing theories cannot explain.  But even then, such an observation wouldn't disprove Evolution.  It would only show that Evolution is a subcomponent of a grander truth.  A large reason why scientists have such a problem with the current formulation of the Intelligent Design hypothesis is that it requires rejecting parts of a well-accepted scientific theory.

The arguments for Intelligent Design remind me a bit of the controversy a few years ago regarding modern events that were supposedly foretold in the Old Testament by taking the original Hebrew text and looking at regular patterns of letters in the text, letters which seemed to spell out descriptions of 20th Century events.  The problem is that the author of this study did not provide a "control group" in his experiment.  Had he observed 100 other books, all of them secular, and failed to find other similar patterns, then the hypothesis that these patterns in the Bible were due to intelligent design would have had more credence.  But as it stands, an independent observer noted that it's just as easy to "foretell" modern events from the text of Moby Dick.

Science requires that one prove a positive, not a negative.  Thus far, a large number of the arguments for Intelligent Design are really arguments against Evolution ... arguments which point out the as-yet-unexplained loopholes in the theory of Evolution.  Well, one could just as easily find unexplained loopholes in Relativity or Quantum Mechanics.  But that doesn't mean that we should completely throw away those theories.  Because at the end of the day, they explain most things we observe.  And so does Evolution.  Saying that an intelligent force created life because we don't understand how that complexity could have developed naturally is a cop out.  Science's goal is to explain all observable phenomena thoroughly and without mystery.  If we were to stop trying to achieve that goal, then there would be no more science.  And as soon as science grinds to a halt, so does technology.  I'm sure Mr. Land and his cronies wouldn't want that.

So all of this comes in a roundabout way to my initial question, which is why the Intelligent Design hypothesis is even necessary.  There is nothing in the theory of Evolution that says that God didn't have a hand in creating the processes that drive it, processes which may very well have been ingrained into the very fabric of the universe.  Am I prepared to say that such is true?  Certainly not.  I am, after all, a scientist, and as such I must clearly delineate my own beliefs from the body of scientific knowledge.  But nothing in that body of scientific knowledge precludes the existence of a divine power controlling things behind the scenes.  It's not the place of science to make a statement on God one way or another.  Science merely presents what is "known", leaving that which is unknown or unknowable to the realms of religion and philosophy.  Many have described Evolution as a "controversial" theory, but for a theory to be truly "controversial" in the scientific sense, there must be a competing theory.  A competing hypothesis is not sufficient.  String Theory, for instance, is still a controversial theory.  Relativity and Quantum Mechanics and Evolution are not.  So until such time as an experiment can be formulated to confirm or deny the hypothesis or Intelligent Design, it does not belong in a science textbook any more than a mention of the Flat Earth Society belongs there.

A very good online debate on this topic can be found here:
http://www.actionbioscience.org/evolution/nhmag.html