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Michael



Last Updated: 11/4/2009

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Gender: Male
Status: Married
Age: 45
Sign: Gemini

Country: NZ
Signup Date: 6/3/2006

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Tuesday, December 08, 2009 

Current mood:  mellow
Yup, gardening and laughing are two of the best things in life you can do to promote good health and a sense of well being." 
-   David Hobson, The Mad Gardener

I do not like broccoli. And I haven't liked it since I was a little kid and my mother made me eat it. And I'm President of the United States and I'm not going to eat any more broccoli.
-   George Bush, U.S. President, 1990


I have alluded to an interest in gardening previously in these posts.  Gardening can seem a strange pursuit in a suburban environment - my own gardening efforts have generally focussed on producing food for the table which might seem a ridiculous activity when you compare the prices of fruit and vegetables at the local supermarket with the cost and effort I put in to mostly fail at producing food at home.

However money is not the only measure by which to gauge success.  I can't compete with industrial farmers in terms of output per dollar and I can't even compete in terms of yield per person – not when I'm up against someone who's farming with the assistance of machinery - but as industrial cultivation is by nature monoculture, with a bit more experience I might very well be able to compete if the measure is yield per square metre - you won't see many industrial corn fields with beans growing amongst the corn stalks for example - or in terms of yield per external inputs (fuels, fertilizers, debt-servicing costs, contractors etc.) or yield per tonne of carbon generated or other negative impacts.  Because of the variety of tasks and the fact that I act as my own boss, I am personally involved in the garden and have control over what I choose to do in it, so I feel a part of it.  I enjoy gardening and feel a great sense of satisfaction from it (even in failure) while a great many market garden workers slog away for many boring hours at monotonous and unrewarding labour.

Not to mention that I can feel confident that any food I do produce has grown out of the Earth and not from a depleted substrate made fertile with unknown chemical substances derived from petrochemicals and kept free of insect pests with, also, unknown chemical substances derived from petrochemicals.

I find that in Wellington's cool summers I'm unable to grow plants like capsicums and chilli peppers very successfully and my tomatoes don't often amount to much but plants that grow well in Britain - veges like potatoes, leeks, rhubarb, brassicas, peas and beans, fruits like apples, pears, currants, plums and cherries, and herbs such as parsley, thyme, rosemary - seem to fare exceptionally well here in New Zealand, once dubbed ‘the Britain of the South Pacific’ by settlers who arrived here beginning in the Eighteen Hundreds.

New Zealand has a mild climate and high rainfall and is exceptionally well suited for pasture grasses.  Prior to the development of refrigeration, shipping meat and dairy products back to England was problematic but early settlers had no scruples about using fire to clear large areas of land for sheep pasture for the production of wool for export.  One such, a Lady Mary Barker, wrote in a letter during the 1860's under the heading "The Exceeding Joy of Burning":

"The immediate results of our expeditions are vast tracts of perfectly black and barren country, looking desolate and hideous to a degree hardly to be imagined; but after the first spring showers...they become a mass of delicious young grass.  And the especial favourite feeding place of the ewes and lambs."

I'm sure that at the time no one thought much about what to do when all the trees had been burned - the native forests might be considered a renewable resource but were abused to such extremes that for all practical purposes they were non-renewable by any kind of meaningful definition in a useful human time-frame.

Britain during that period was exporting people to New Zealand (and other countries) and New Zealand was soon to begin exporting resources (or carrying capacity) back to Britain.  Britain by then may have exceeded its ability to provide for its population, and had begun relying on energy from coal to increase economic output - converting land to wool production in New Zealand freed up land in England for other purposes like textile milling using coal-powered machinery.

Fossil fuels, in combination with a debt-based monetary system, allowed the development of industrial machinery that increased human ability to exploit the biosphere - temporarily boosting the carrying capacity of our environment.  Problem is that in using the powerful new tools available since the Industrial Revolution, industry has largely overlooked the difference between efficient extraction and efficient management.
 
In very simplified terms, carrying capacity would be referring to the number of individuals that the environment could support sustainably.  Efficient management would be about ensuring sustainable and stable returns from this environment.

Efficient extraction on the other hand is all about maximising your returns per dollar in the short term.  By way of example, levelling vast tracts of land and growing corn and nothing but corn using massive machines, fossil fertilizers and systematized processes maximises your return per dollar and per farmer but results in a very inefficient use of solar energy and water and gross destruction of topsoil and biological systems.  Using current industrial methods approximately 7 calories of energy from fossil fuels are required for each calorie of food produced.

Dollars issued as debt become real - or as real as paper fiat currency ever can be - at the moment you sign the contract representing your promise to pay it back to someone.   When you go the bank and ask for a loan to build a new house, the bank writes some numbers onto its books and issues you credit.  The creation of some of this new money is a reflection of the increase to the stock of houses in the world that you are going to add to by one.

You will be required to pay back not only the amount you 'borrowed' but a very large sum of interest as well and of course, your house begins degrading almost immediately from when it is built.  Additionally, not all loans are secured against hard assets, some loans are made to support consumption or lifestyle.  Clearly the bank is counting on your earnings increasing and is working on the assumption that each dollar issued will be easier to pay back in the future than it is today.  The key point is that this system cannot - and will not - work unless the money supply is continually expanding - an expanding economy is required in order for our financial systems to function.  Happily for some, a continually expanding economy has been the reality for the last several centuries due to the exploitation of plentiful supplies of cheap fossil energy.  This is literally something for nothing - materials and labour performed not by hand but by machines powered by fossil fuels - and this something-for-nothing economic scenario is now putatively considered the normal state of affairs.

You don't build the house yourself from scratch, you use contractors who use machines and materials produced in mills and factories.  Dollars aren't backed by any hard measure such as gold, they aren't backed at all, they are forwarded against future economic growth - essentially the dollar is forwarded by fossil fuel - mostly oil, a limited resource burned once and then gone.  A very big problem beginning to unfold is that now, as property values in many places are declining, the value of hard assets out there in the world is decreasing but the quantity of money is expanding and the energy available to construct further built assets is limited in supply.

Imagine you go to the casino and feed a dollar into a machine.  The machine then issues you twenty dollars.  Woohoo! you think - money for nothing.   You got a twenty dollar return on one dollar invested.  Wouldn't it be great if you had such a machine that continually paid out twenty bucks every time you fed a dollar into it?

Fossil energy works a little like this and analysts talk about EROI or energy return on energy invested.  If all you have to do is drill a hole in the ground and out spurts high quality light, sweet crude then you will have a high energy return for the energy input required to produce a usable fuel.  But if you have to drill in remote and inhospitable locations through rock kilometres deep or miles out at sea and if you are having to make do with heavy, sour crudes that require expensive refining then your energy return for the energy you put in will be much less.   When Peakniks talk about the end of the age of oil or when the 'oil is all used up' they don't mean that every last drop of oil is now gone, on the contrary there will still be plenty of oil in the Earth - it's just that the cost of extracting it will rise to meet or exceed the benefit you get.  Like putting a dollar into your machine and getting a payout of a dollar.  When that point is reached, the game is over. 

I am grossly over-simplifying here for the sake of making the point.  In practice our current economic affairs become no longer viable well before a 1:1 ratio of energy cost to energy return is reached.  Although the sub-prime housing fiasco was an unsustainable bubble just waiting to burst, rising oil prices topping out at $147 per barrel mid 2008 were like the noise control officer showing up to shut down the party.  At prices of that level, oil extraction represents 5% of the world's economic activity - it may be that something around this figure kills industrial growth.

Once oil extraction is no longer economic, industrial decline may turn out to be much more rapid than most commentators can imagine - given that almost all of them are full of a deep sense of entitlement and exceptionalism, and are steeped in economic theory formulated during times when fossil-fuel driven economic expansion was already in progress.

Gardening for me so far has been an almost entirely individual experience.  I am learning by reading books, from trial and error, failure and persistence.  This is not the best way to go about it, I am convinced that most of the little obstacles I have encountered would have never been a problem if it happened that I had a community of other interested gardeners around me.  We learn most effectively through conversation and imitation of others not through screen after screen on the internet or from the dry pages of textbooks.  Much of the information I find in books doesn't apply to my particular circumstances anyway.  And wouldn't it be so much nicer to share seeds with a community of friends who have experience growing them and not have to buy them in little foil packs anonymously from a chain store? 

I am beginning to realise that this is the most sensible response to the problems of climate change, peak oil and economic implosion - if indeed there exists any sensible response.  What to do when every easy natural resource is burned and no longer yields exceeding joy?  The answer is certainly not to hoard guns and ammo, not to struggle alone to be self-sufficient in food, not to stash kruggerands under the floorboards.  It is instead to have the support of a strongly knitted community around you.

And there we are gentle readers, just to prove I can do it, a whole post without a single rude word.  Now get out there, get involved.
Currently listening:
Sweet Baby James
By James Taylor
Release date: 1990-10-25
Friday, September 18, 2009 

Current mood:  blank
Total Word Count:  2593

Total Fuck Tally:  14   Fuck Factor Status: 
RED (Exceeds one per 500 words)

When I began writing these posts, I confess I knew really rather little about peak oil, climate change or macroeconomics.  I signed up on MySpace with a vague idea that I could set up a page with pictures, audio files, videos of me playing guitar - like an online busker or guitar tutor - maybe a link to send to restaurateurs or cafe proprietors as part of hustling for a gig, or maybe just a vanity page.  The page sat unused for about a year or so as the realisation grew on me that a MySpace page doesn't just put itself up on the net and requires constant work to give it content.  To this day, my Space remains largely unformatted other than the default setup because - well - I just can't be arsed. I'm sure I am as much a narcissist as those I have occasionally made fun of in my writing here but my own particular brand of narcissism doesn't seem to extend to the point of being a motivating factor in spending many late nights engaged in pimping my Space or photoshopping six-pack abs onto my image.
 
One day, I had a conversation on the phone with my dear friend Violet, who now lives in a different city to me, and she mentioned that she had a MySpace page and that I should sign up and we could 'keep in touch that way'.  I was a little offended by this at the time, taking it as an invitation to leave her list of 'special friends' and go on the list of her 'casual internet acquaintances' but it got me thinking about that page I had sitting there unused.  Not long after this, we had the TV on over the weekend and Al Gore's concert for climate change was playing.  It occurred to me sitting in the car on
the way to work the following Monday that this much-hyped concert had been and gone and that every idiot and his horse seemed to be whole-heartedly 'on-board' with the climate message and yet here is the same old traffic flow just like the week previous, cars nose to tail, one person sitting in each, driving to work with a bumper sticker on the back 'Save the Blue-Eyed Fucking Penguin'.  Here might be something to write a little bit about I thought, and post on that page that's sitting out there in cyber-space unused, and so I had a go - and the result was my first ever internet blog.  "Why We're All Fucked" I called it.

Encouraged by the fact that it was not immediately and comprehensively flamed, I turned out a second, imaginatively titled "Another Reason Why We're All Fucked".

It's been a wild ride, the last few years, I've pored newspaper articles, books, blogs, learning about climate, peak oil, energy and it's relationship to finance, and summarising what I have learned in posts here as I've gone along - bundled with
some silly comments of my own.  I'm no expert, far from it, but I've come to think of myself as somewhat more aware of these issues than the average distracted, glassy-eyed Stooge cruising the streets and the retail oases.

I've learned that our modern world relies heavily on fossil energy - oil, coal, natural gas.  These are all finite resources that will 'peak'.  The point of peak oil production has passed - despite growing demand, oil flow has not significantly increased since 2004. 

In a consumer driven marketplace substantially funded by debt, the economy was driven by consumers spending money that hadn't yet been earned on items of use for nothing much more than status display - greed, ignorance, and runaway narcissism across whole sectors of the community caused a consumer orgy unlike anything ever before in history.  This would be OK if only resources were available for continuing economic expansion but presents a disaster waiting to happen if, due to resource limitations, the economy can no longer expand sufficiently to make debt-servicing easier over time.

As the price of our primary energy source, oil, rose in the recent past so did the cost of running the economy and a recession ensued.

Money is useless without energy to back it up.  Nothing nowadays is achieved with muscle power, when you buy a product or service, that product our service is created using energy from other (fossil) sources.  Money is a medium by which to represent a claim against future energy reserves.  President Obama said, “No single issue is as fundamental to our future as energy”.  Inconveniently, money is growing in supply while energy is reducing in supply.  So money today does not accurately reflect remaining available supplies of natural resources.  At some point, the global reserve currency, the US dollar, will collapse.

Oil supply has not increased (and will not) and once economies begin to dust themselves off and re-organise for further consumer orgies, demand for oil will spike and crude will once again rise to $100 a barrel and beyond.  This will then trigger further recession.  The immediate future looks like recession, followed by partial recovery, more recession, partial recovery and so on.  Peaks and troughs but a general slow, grinding decline into a new - and stark - reality.

Throw into the mix the damage we've been inflicting on the environment and things start to really look grim.  The climate has not yet changed sufficiently to dramatically impact the lifestyles of the rich and famous, or of the average Joe who still has a job in a Western economy, but every day brings news of glacial retreat, coral die-off, algal blooms and swarms of jellyfish, dead zones in the oceans, once in a hundred year floods in some places and once in a thousand year droughts in others.  

Typically these news items are buried in a small corner of the back pages of the paper where most readers fail to notice them while the death of Michael Jackson, the pregnancy of some movie star, or a rumoured Seinfeld reunion grabs the prime headline space.

The conclusion I have latterly come to - and the point which I disingenuously started from right at the outset - is that it's futile, the campaign to fight climate change is over and lost, the opportunity to prepare for an orderly transition away from oil as our primary energy source has passed.

We're fucked.

Now that's a pretty harsh and blunt message - what would drive me to say such a thing?  I'm a father of two bright young daughters - don't I have any hope at all for the future?

No.  Not really.

Recycling our paper waste and swapping out light bulbs is bullshit - noble, but bullshit.  It's such a small pathetic gesture against the real problem of our whole profligate way of life.  We can't carry on with industrial consumerism without sooner or later fucking the planet.  That's a fact.  And a fact is a fact.  And you can't have an opinion about fact - it's just a fact.

An average global temperature rise of just two degrees, say the scientists, will cause irreversible feedback loops and runaway climate change.  These processes are already underway.  The climate will continue to warm for millennia even if we cut all greenhouse gas emissions altogether right now.

Like every FM radio station playing the same safe music out of mortal fear that you might touch the dial (while at the same time announcing that they play 'more music variety'), the media don't want to tell you the truth for fear that you'll switch off.  So the message is massaged with hopeful and positive spin; the polar bears are dying but look! here are some we rescued who live out their days frolicking with bouncy balls in a refrigerated enclosure at the San Diego Zoo!  The Arctic Ice is melting but woohoo! now we have a northwest passage available for efficient shipping of containers full of Playstations from China!

Oh - you don't have credit left for a new Playstation? - Well you're fucked.

Essentially the problem is that we all have vested interests in maintaining this massive global fuck-up.  "Living in a suburban home is just about the worst thing you can do for the environment, short of becoming Gene Simmons", I wrote in one of my earlier efforts.  Substitute 'Gene Simmons' with Flavor Flav, or Hulk Hogan, or who-the-fuck-ever currently has a show on TV and lives the lifestyle most of us seem to aspire to.

But how do you NOT aspire to live a comfortable life in a McMansion in Beverly Hills when every part of our culture informs you that this is your proper goal in life?  How do you NOT live in a suburban home when there are so many vested interests tied up in the suburban home industry?

"Get out of the suburbs" I wrote early last year as if the whole suburban lifestyle was about to blow up.  On more careful consideration, it's obvious the suburbs won't be going away any time soon.  A poor use of resources they may be, a disaster for the environment, an inappropriate living arrangement heading into a low energy world, but the suburbs are there now, they're built.  They'll blow away in the wind eventually but not for a long time.

Meanwhile everyone from the real estate agent to the plumber, the newspaper delivery kid to the insurance industry, the lawnmowing service to the big box furnishing retailers, the supermarkets and the trash collectors all have a total vested interest in maintaining the status quo.  And so long as that situation continues, no one will admit to themselves that the whole thing is a fuck up.  Everyone - everyone - has a vested interest in the existing system.

I had a school friend once, a lifetime ago, who bought his first car, pretty much on a whim, a Mitsubishi Sigma, not a bad car actually for the time and given that in new Zealand back then not everyone had a car.  Within days, his bedroom was adorned with posters of Mitsubish Sigmas, he had Mitsubishi logos stuck on his window, talked incessantly about the latest model Sigma - because he had become invested in the idea that the Sigma was the greatest car on the road. None of it was based on verifiable fact, he just needed to justify his decision to buy that particular car.  He was hardly going to go around saying - well they had a Mitsi Sigma on the lot and also the Nissan Bluebird and a Ford Falcon and the Falcon and the Bluebird, well, they're better cars but I'm a Dick so I bought the Sigma.

His sense of self-worth became conditional on his choice of car.  This then became a position he felt the need to defend.

So you live in a suburban home?  Well so do I - where the hell else am I going to live?  In a mud hut with a thatched roof surrounded by scrappy crops and a small flock of mangy goats?  Can't see the wife buying into that idea.  The suburban lifestyle arrangement currently in place is the default setup, we buy and therefore buy into it, so that is the position we will defend and protect.  Our food comes from the supermarket, our clothing from chain stores, we are a part of and reliant upon systematized retail distribution.  It is the only way of life we are familiar with.  This is what we will hang on to and fight to maintain - even while it impoverishes us and makes us miserable.

Of an evening I roll a joint and stand at the back of our yard, looking down over the valley, and I stare at the lights and listen to the dogs barking and the cars accelerating out of the corners and I imagine all the people in the houses below me living their ridiculous suburban lives, staring at their TV's, ignoring their wives and kids, slopping their microwave meals down their shirts, punching down a half a cheesecake or a pack of choco-tarts, a beer or a few glasses of cheap red; dreaming about how sometime in some as-yet-unspecified future they will be happy and have some excitement in their lives and no mortgage or money worries and annual overseas holidays to exotic locations.  And I share those same vague 'one-day' dreams, because I'm every bit the "doe-eyed, dairy-fed, daydream believer" as everyone else.

So many people seem so committed to the idea of swapping light bulbs and doing without plastic bags and etc.  Every little bit counts they say, we’re saving the planet one plastic bag at a time.  But they are mistaken – it’s every little BIG thing that counts.  You can make any little thing seem impressive if you have a mind to.  I recall reading somewhere that computer screens use more power to display white than black (black being off, white being all colour pixels on to make composite white).  So someone worked out that if Google's search page had a black background instead of white, because Google has so many hundred squidillion page views every day, this would save enough power to shut down however many coal-fired power stations... but changing Google's background colour on screen really ain't gonna save the world is it?

What are we going to do now everyone's Melteca benchtops are covered in repo and foreclosure demands instead of enticing letters offering easy, unlimited credit?  I dunno - just carry on I guess.  Hope that space aliens come and offer to trade us the blueprints for an electric power station that runs on zero point energy along with a simple formula for turning lead into battery-ready lithium in exchange for the production schema by which to manufacture a stylish range of affordable fashion footwear... Obama could clinch the deal on behalf of the citizens of Earth by throwing in a couple of really trippy Chicago Hip-Hop CD's, a sweet little recipe for cookies, and a sample bag of the Nation's finest marijuana.

And later that evening, the President would take pause for a moment to smirk at the reflection in his polished mahogany desktop, smug in the thought that it was he, yes he, and he only who saved the whole motherfucking universe, while a couple of numbskull aliens with some fuck-off beats and a fresh batch of truly awesome hash brownies are taking the long way home making plans to take on Shoes Is Us back in Alpha Centauri.

So you see that none of this stops me from being silly and cheerful in the face of things in the meantime.  Enjoy life for the moment - you may as well.  All you can do is nothing - like John and Yoko staying in bed for peace.  Just sit around at home for climate change.  Don't go to the Mall.  Don't get in the car.  Refrain from consuming.  Spend time with your family instead.  Garden.  Read books.

Yes, I've come right out and said it now - we're fucked.  It seems so final.  Where do we go from here?  I don't know.  By today's frames of reference the future will be more terrible and scary than anything we can imagine and almost certainly in ways other than what we expect or can predict.

But when we come to actually living it, it won't seem as bad.

The sun will rise tomorrow.

Good luck everyone.
Sunday, August 09, 2009 

Current mood:  mischievous
Oliver Cromwell is buried and dead
He hi, buried and dead
They planted an apple tree over his head
He hi over his head
The apples were ripe and ready to fall
He high ready to fall
There came an old woman to gather them all
He hi gather them all
-"Oliver Cromwell is Buried and Dead", A Traditional Old English Round


The recession is all but over if one is to believe some of the twaddle printed in the daily news.  The papers blather on about fiscal stimulus and green shoots and commentators start picking the bottom of the housing market and pointing to the Chinese economy still growing at 8% per year.

Everyone seems to be keeping a positive attitude, wishing upon a star for a quick return to credit-fuelled, carefree consumerism.

"Over by Christmas," said Ben Bernanke.

And around the world, millions of citizens accept without questioning that the financial crisis caused by excessive spending on credit can be resolved - by issuing more credit!
 
“No-one rises so high as he who knows not whither he is going.” said Oliver Cromwell, Lord Protector of England, commenting on personal fortune way back in the 17th Century.

Cromwell, a republican who had ruled England after having King Charles I beheaded, died in 1658.  In 1660 after the Monarchy was restored, his corpse was ordered dug up again and publicly hanged.  It must have been a gruesome sight - Cromwell was an ugly man even in life.  Following this, his head was cut off and stuck on a pole above London Bridge and his body was dumped in an unmarked pit.

In the 1970's London Bridge was sold to an American investor, completely dismantled, catalogued stone by stone, and re-built in Lake Havasu City, Arizona where it became a major tourist attraction.

Oliver Cromwell's head did not accompany the bridge on its journey to America.  It remained on display stuck on its pole for 24 years and then, depending on whose history text you believe, it was either stolen or the pole broke during a storm and the head fell off and was picked up by a sentry who stashed it up his chimney.  It is thought that Cromwell's head passed through the hands of several private collectors over the following centuries before it was finally packed in a biscuit tin and buried in the grounds of Cromwell's old school in Sidney Sussex, Cambridge in 1960.

This author conducted a search of the internet and his local public library but can find no further account of the pole.

Cromwell, as might be expected of a Puritan, despised personal vanity.  He was an unattractive man but instructed his portrait painter Peter Lely:

"I desire you would use all your skill to paint my picture truly like me, and not flatter me at all; but remark all the roughness, pimples, warts and everything, otherwise I will never pay a farthing for it."

Thus was coined the phrase "warts and all."

People are different now.  Social change tends to take longer than many experts expect but when it does finally happen it can be more extreme than predicted.

"That was awful," said Simon to an American Idol contestant.

"Your so wrong!" she shouted back,  "I'm going to be the biggest star EVER!"

Quite a contrast to the Puritan idea of Cromwell's time that music should be enjoyed modestly at home but perhaps not a surprising response from someone raised in a culture that has been told that the way to do good for your country is to "go shopping". 

Regrettably, this kind of attitude is likely to present a considerable challenge to the cohesion of local communities in years ahead of us.

Your author made a minor contribution to community cohesion recently, performing works of classical guitar to a group of fidgety schoolchildren at a local library.  He chose a brief selection of easy pieces by Carulli, Giuliani and Sor.

Ferdinand Carulli was an Italian composer of the classical era who had a talent for composing simple to play pieces that lie easily under the guitarist's fingers but still sound rich and full.  Although a complete CD of Carulli pieces can start to sound a little 'samey', anyone of a mind to roll a big spliff and sit back in a comfortable armchair late at night in a quiet room, perhaps with a single malt or dark chocolate, will find listening to a sensitive player on a period instrument to be a romantic and serene experience.

Mauro Giuliani, also a classical Italian, was a somewhat edgier composer whose works include grand and majestic sonatas as well as many of the 'standards' of today's student repertoire.

The Spaniard Fernando Sor was a genius who achieved considerable fame and at the height of his career in the early 1800's, was doing very well for himself playing for rich ladies in the salons of Paris.  Although well known among guitar enthusiasts, he is one of the most under-rated of classical musicians and died in relative obscurity.  In his time, he was a renowned teacher as well as a touring performer and composer who wrote a method book and several volumes of studies in addition to some of the greatest concert masterpieces ever composed for guitar.

Your author boarded the bus home with his guitar case in his hand and warmth in his heart.

"Dude!" said a young gentleman on the seat opposite, "Can ya play 'Stairway'?"

"Nope", responded your author.

"Oh", said the young gentleman, "still learnin' are ya?"

Yup, still learnin' after all these years!
Currently listening:
Carulli: Guitar Sonatas Op. 21, Nos. 1-3 & Op. 5
Release date: 1996-02-20
Thursday, July 09, 2009 

Current mood:  melancholy
Hey been missing you guys.  Been almost two months since I last posted here.  Who wouldn't enjoy the leisure time to keep his MySpace page current?

But, regrettably, I have a living to make.  You'll all know how life is sometimes.

There's been plenty going on out there in my absence, we're in the grip of swine flu hysteria and I've been missing out on commenting on "green shoots", signs of upturn in the housing market and economic recovery.

Forever optimistic, the financial advisors, real estate agents, brokers, market commentators, everyone who drank the Kool-Aid, desperate to keep a smile on their dial, all looking for the first signs, have been pronouncing the end of the recession.  "Green Shoots" they've been seeing, and a recovery in the housing markets on the horizon.

But the man in the street with a bit more of a grounding in reality is beginning to realise that you can't just forever put it on the credit card and around the world he is trying hard to cut back and start saving.  Remember - one man's cost cutting is another's lost income.  When the economy is based on consumer spending and spending goes down, jobs are lost.  When jobs are lost, house prices fall.  When house prices fall, people feel poorer and cut back on spending.  Banks stop lending.  This at a time when oil is creeping back up again even as demand drops.

Economic Recovery - No way.  Its all just wishes and dreams.  No more real than fairy dust or credit money.

But this is the world that gave us the idea that there is such a thing as a free lunch, that you can get something for nothing, that all you have to do is believe and your dreams will come true.  This is the world that created Michael Jackson in its own image, as if by a creative act of God.  The Peter Pan who never grows up and never grows old.  Jackson is a mythical metaphor for the United States - created by the market and a reflection of the consuming public.  Every culture needs its myths and fairy tales.  Michael Jackson's obsession with youth and image, all the cosmetic surgery, mirrors America's obsession with sex and beauty, the psuedo-military outfits parallel - and parody - the American military's own playground misadventures, his gross over-spending on frivolous, shallow and temporal gratifications and the consequent gross indebtedness a reflection of the state of the Nation.

It goes on...

Still - it's not anything subversive or conspiratorial or particularly complex to understand.  Michael Jackson has simply been filling an empty space in the lives of fans.  People lacking meaningful relationships with their community turn to proxy relationships with celebrities.  When you live a disconnected life behind the walls of a suburban fence, when you don't know the names of people living 30 metres away in the house next door, when you're leading a double-life with your friends and family trying to maintain an outward image of respectability while repressing your sexuality, your aggression, your passions, frustrations, angers and fears to present an appropriate image to the world, who do you turn to for a release, to express your inner nature?  You turn to a fantasy life filled with morphing into sleek black cats and zombies or crotch-grabbing sexual display.

Millions of people mourn the death of Michael Jackson with the intensity, or even beyond the intensity, that they would grieve for a lover or a family member, lamenting his unrealised potential even as their own unrealised hopes and aspirations slowly fade to grey.

Yet the sad truth is that Jackson himself could do no more to control his own destiny than wonder Why?, Why?, Do they do me that way. 

Meanwhile the slow death of the consumer economy - the mechanism that drove Jackson's success and consequent problems and the monster that ultimately killed him - is getting about as much sensible attention in the media as poor old Farrah Fawcett.

Something else that fell over recently was our household supply of thin-film plastic bags. These bags that since ever I can remember have been coming home with the weekly groceries, make perfect rubbish bin liners.  For many years, we've been storing them in a little cloth bag shaped like an oversized sock with a draw string that hangs from a hook in the kitchen.  It was a bag of bags.  We unpacked the groceries and stuffed the bags in the top and when we need a new bin liner we take one out the bottom.

It always used to amaze me that we buy the groceries, consume the products and dispose of the packaging in the bin lined with the plastic bags these same supplies came home in and yet frequently we would run out bags!

Now, in the interest of protecting the environment, supermarkets here are discouraging use of thin-film plastic bags by charging 10 - 20 cents each for them - probably about a million per cent mark up on the actual cost of production - or refusing to supply them altogether.  One local supermarket packed our groceries recently in twice the number of half-sized bags.  When we asked what that was about, we were enthusiastically informed that the store was doing its bit for the environment.

OK - I guess we'll need to buy re-usable hemp eco-bags to carry our groceries home in but the shopping itself will need to include a few additional boxes of thick-film plastic bin liners.  Well, whatever, if we're going to burn the environment anyway, may as well do it sooner rather than later.

Better to burn out than to fade away, sang Neil Young.  Perhaps he was right. Fading away didn't work out so grand for poor old Farrah.  Michael Jackson is gone.  Some might say in a blaze of glory on the eve of his over-hyped comeback shows.

The rest of us are left behind, with one less star to wish upon, to cope with the sadness of watching our unrealised hopes and dreams fade away like fairy dust on a moonbeam along with the memory of twentieth century capitalism.
Currently listening:
Off the Wall
By Michael Jackson
Release date: 2001-10-16
Thursday, April 30, 2009 

Current mood:  aroused

In the year 1215, King John of England was ambushed by a group of Nobles in a meadow called Runnymede and was made to sign the Magna Carta.

The Lords and Barons who wrote the Magna Carta wanted to establish limits to the previously absolute power of the King and to return England to the state of law that existed prior to the Norman invasion of 1066.

None of those present were alive in 1066 and none of them really knew exactly what the rule of law was in pre-Norman times - they mostly just made it up to suit themselves.

The Magna Carta has since had a profound influence on constitutional law and part of the document was later re-written into the US Constitution - "No person shall be ...deprived of life, liberty, or property, without due process..."

The right to own property thus was deemed to be inalienable by invasive aliens in a land whose original human inhabitants had no concept of private ownership.

Private property rights form the basis of Capitalism and along with banking and credit facilities were crucial to the development of large-scale privately owned industry as the Industrial Revolution gathered momentum in the 1800's.  Many goods had previously been produced under the domestic or cottage system.  Under this system, raw materials would be delivered by a merchant to a craftsperson's home where people working on their own time would produce clothing, lace, baskets, shoes or what-have-you to be later collected by the merchant for resale. The Industrial Revolution spawned a new idea - the factory system.  Large buildings were put up, industrial machinery installed, and workers were recruited to drive the machines. 

Workers lost autonomy over their time and the tasks they performed moment by moment and gave up the right to self-determination for the duration of their work hours.  The system was evolving and the rules along with it.

In Britain, the enclosure movement was forcing the poor off the land; most faced the choice of working in the factories, emigrating or starving.  In the Northwestern United States, after Colonel Edwin Drake had successfully drilled for rock oil in Pennsylvania and established that kerosene refined from it could be used as a subsitute for whale oil, corporations were established and rapidly grew in size, monopolising supply of fuel and distribution of freight by railroad, making massive profits.

Corporations were originally set up for the service and benefit of the wider community but Government turned a blind eye to the sheer scale of the profits made and some of the anti-competitive practices that were going on because in the infancy of corporate capitalism everyone was benefiting.  Grain farmers in the MidWest were now able to efficiently ship vast quantities of wheat into bagel shops in New York and bakeries in Boston for example - once hapless innocents engaged in subsistence on the Mid-Western plains began evolving into major primary food producers and wheat became a commodity product traded mostly on the basis of price.

As the Industrial Age began to kick into high gear, industrialists began to worry about the capability of industry to turn out more product than could be sold to a public that stubbornly retained many pre-industrial values and remained essentially frugal.  In 1929 an article written by one Charles Kettering appeared entitled "Keeping the Customer Dissatisfied".  Kettering was director of research at General Motors.  He advocated a change in approach - from need satisfaction to need creation.  From pull to push. 

Advertising was nothing new but had been limited to basic newspaper ads and rough posters until Thomas Barratt of the Pears Soap Company revolutionised the industry with the use of expensive reproductions of artworks printed along with glowing recommendations from doctors and chemists which appeared in newspapers and magazines.  An 1883 advertisement covering the whole front page of the New York Herald quoted religious leader Henry Ward Beecher as saying "Cleanliness is next to Godliness" - associating Godliness and virtue with the use of Pears soap.

The advertising industry grew through the 1920's developing further on propagandist techniques refined during the First World War.  Following the setbacks of a major economic depression and another World War, the wide uptake of televison and a condition of growing affluence during the 1950's enabled spectacular advancement in advertising's reach and influence.  Initially a whole televison show would have a single sponsor but soon the idea of an ad-break was developed so that multiple commercial messages from a variety of advertisers could be inserted into a single program.  Since the 1980's there have even been shows about ads featuring nothing but commercials introduced by a witty host - and with ad breaks.

Henry Ford, who was largely ignorant of history, had long before declared it was 'more or less bunk'.  A future-obsessed populace, eagerly anticipating commuting to work in the morning by jet-pack, went along with the idea.  In Western society, and particularly in North America, a new generation was rocking around the clock, hanging out at the Mall, and looking towards a future so bright everyone wore shades.  Everyday life was beginning more and more to resemble a Disneyland fantasy and popular thought, such as it was, was informed by Flash Gordon and Star Trek, Barbie and Ken, open blue sky and romantic sunsets set to orchestration by John Williams. Above all the theme of the age was Progress.  Economic expansion without limits.  Systematized manufacturing techniques, not invented by Ford but forever associated with his name, had revolutionized the booming production of cars which were coming off the line in massive numbers and so cheaply that in an economy awash with easily extracted oil, even the burger flippers could afford them.  Workers were able to shut out the horrors of busy, polluted, noisy cities by commuting to and from manicured suburbs in the comfortable leatherette interiors of their vehicles.  Waste was flushed or trucked away, dumped somewhere out of sight.  Life was as bright and shiny as Doris Day and becoming increasingly fake - from the plastic trees lining the roads of many American freeways to the smiles on the faces of the customer service staff to pre-packaged food manufactured using production line methods and so processed that consumers didn't even have to digest it on their own.  Aldous Huxley's Brave New World was materialising right in front of people's eyes but no one noticed because they were too distracted by the sideshows of that very same Brave New World - cinematic spectacles ever larger than anything before and a growing smorgasboard of consumer goods, toys, motor vehicles, modern home comforts and gadgetry continually updated to next year's model - usually introduced half way through the year prior.

Instead of adding to one's happiness, the reality is that an oversupply of consumer goods subtracts from personal satisfaction, adding to one's misery (while multiplying rapidly and dividing one's attention).  Chocolate-coated sugary candies leave a taste in the mouth that can only be assuaged by the consumption of more chocolate candy, gaudy entertainments dull the senses to anything but even more gaudy entertainments.  It never occurred to a Roman that there could be a number zero, it never occurred to most Americans that less might be more. 

Any society that fails to control its appetites in the short run surely will go hungry in the long - you can quote me on that one dear readers - and the surest way to ruin is printing paper money and spending it.

President Nixon removed any connection of the dollar to a value standard such as gold in the early 1970's.  This was necessary if the consumer mardi-gras was to continue as the United States was passing its peak of domestic oil production and energy is money. The rules governing credit expansion were now free to be made up as they went along and a system of global finance, now largely experimental, waited like a dormant influenza virus ready to evolve into a pandemic explosion of debt once computers and telecommunication networks enabled risk modelling and creative packaging of loans into parcels for resale.

Archimedes said, "Give me where to stand, and I will move the earth."  He was talking about the power of levers - to him it was not a question of whether someone had the strength to move the Earth but simply a matter of where you had to stand to gain sufficient effect from leverage.  Fossil energy is a form of leverage in that it can be used to power tools that augment human muscular energy.  Borrowed money, effectively a debt against future energy reserves, can be used as leverage to increase the effect of monetary gains.  Now, like a teenage boy behind the wheel of a muscle car, whole Nations of doe-eyed, dairy-fed, daydream believers imagined it was they, their power, their cleverness, that wrought these wonders and not a one-off endowment of fossil resource.

The public couldn't make the connection between energy and debt-based money and no one wanted to think about resource limitations.  They only knew that nothing could stand in the way of Progress. 

The main driver of Western economies for the last decade or so has been consumer spending.  To begin with this had a positive effect - stimulating retail activity and service sector employment.  But each time there was threat of a recession - in a capitalist economy necessary for manufacturers to re-align their products, work out excess inventory, improve processes - central bankers dropped interest rates making credit easier to come by and re-stimulating spending.  Savings rates dropped to nothing and then went negative.

Once the initial huge advantages of industrialised production had been realised and markets had been saturated, the law of diminishing returns began to take hold and tweaks to time and efficiency gave only minor benefits.  The focus turned to cost-cutting.  Manufacturing was exported to cheap labour economies.  But this changed nothing about the old problem that industrialised production is capable of turning out far more product than consumers actually need.  What do you do when everyone already has a car, two cars, a boat, a fridge, a beer fridge, the latest vacuum, a washing machine, clothes drier, food processor, lawn mower, electric iron, a TV in every room, electric shavers, multiple stereos, dvd players?  You turn to your pals in the advertising industry, to create a perceived need for bread makers, juicers, cappucino machines, rice cookers, yoghurt makers, Mr. Soda, ipods, robotic vacuums, electric air fresheners, ever more obscure manufactured appliances to fill ever more trivial manufactured desires and then you make an offer too good to refuse by making these products available on credit and then easier credit and easier credit again.

Consumers began spending more than they earned, debt became normalised.  Interest rates in the US have now effectively hit zero, with no more room to cut rates, the Federal Reserve is directly purchasing bad debt - just another way of printing money.  Even as your author struggles at his keyboard, the US Government is buying up General Motors, former employer of Charles Kettering, a company that could be turning out thousands of new cars a day, if only someone actually needed another car or had the money to buy one.  Leverage, as we are currently finding out, increases profits in the good times and increases the pain in the bad.

Every action has an equal and opposite reaction, so said Isaac Newton, and every debt has to be paid back and accounted for sooner or later.

Socially, too, there were problems boiling away under the surface - although it's hard to quantify the equal and opposite part.  Millions of people who were unable or unwilling to take part in the market frenzy found themselves on the streets, in prison,  or dependent on substances that provided an alternative to perceived reality.  Numerous counter-cultures developed, some of which came bundled with wacky conspiracy theories about how the Illuminati, the Rothschild dynasty, the Jews, are controlling our minds and our destinies because they are the evil Masters of the World, in possession of the secret of the Grail discovered by the Knights Templar while crusading in the Holy Land... or some such.

But these were just distractions, really it was our own thoughtlessness, our casual and disaffected attitudes.  We've been complicit in our own undoing, equating self-determination with having the choice of six different brands of canned beans while the consumer society we've all been a part of regressed backwards into infantile, childish behaviours, focussed only on immediate gratification.

If you buy something with money and it doesn't work, then you have a right to get your money back or be compensated in some tangible way.  When so much of life is commercialised, the idea becomes endemic that everything that goes wrong is someone's fault, someone else must be to blame, someone else must be responsible.  Dickheads spill hot coffee on themselves in the drive-thru and then go and sue McDonalds for a million bucks.  Not that I'm sticking up for McDonalds, but really.

When everything is corporatised and enclosed, citizens become disgruntled, disaffected, alienated and have no sense of community and no sense of ownership over their shared public spaces.  It's every man for himself.

Alienated, disgruntled consumers make alienated, disgruntled workers.

In the cold, bloodless spirit of the production line, more and more administrative work became call-centerised.  Workers were becoming so disaffected and demotivated that in order to get done efficiently, work needed to be externally driven by incoming calls.  Increasingly, data entry was actioned by the customer through automatic teller machines, the internet, or while on the phone to customer service.  Work output could now be precisely measured against a set of call standards, pitting each customer service operator against the other.  Managers started referring to a worker as a resource.  Processing and decison making was as much as possible accomplished automatically by computer software.  Your author spoke to a bank recently about his account and was told by the operator "Computer say No!".  Anything that doesn't fit into the systems and processes probably isn't profit-making activity for the organisation and therefore just isn't done.

Computer models became a substitute for thought.  Finance companies keyed parameters into the model and out came a risk assessment.  Rare or hard to predict events that fell outside the scope of the software - Black Swans as author Nicholas Taleb named them - weren't accounted for.

'Hey, I'm just paying the mortgage!' became a familiar catch-cry, both as an ethic for those engaged in obviously dubious employment such as debt-collection or cigarette and alcohol promotion and a lame excuse for those who sensed they could be doing something more relevant or meaningful.  King John of England, brother of Richard the Lionheart, typecast as the villian in the Robin Hood Legend, who may have died from eating peaches, signed the Magna Carta or Great Charter in a picturesque but disgustingly named English meadow called Runnymede. The mortgage (from the French mort = death and gage = engagement, an engagement until death) was enabled  by property rights written into law as a result. In the modern push-driven marketplace, one that is desperately creating perceived needs and supplying instant gratification for those manufactured needs in compensation for the de-humanised, shallow experience of modern life, what evil is perpetrated for the sake of paying the mortgage?

Currently listening:
Daydreaming: The Very Best of Doris Day
By Doris Day
Release date: 2004-02-03
Tuesday, March 24, 2009 

Current mood:dismal

Your author has a distant relative who is a classical pianist of some minor renown.  Recently Adrian and his partner Ken returned from Australia and they held a small function in their central Wellington flat in celebration of his return to a civilised nation.  I hadn't seen him for some time prior to this reunion and noted that he was looking a little pale and unwell having spent the past two years in Queensland, but nonetheless, he enthusiastically took up the call to play a little for those gathered.  A Chopin etude was suggested.

"Oh, Chopin," gushed one of the ladies, "Gorgeous - I love the romantic period. And Chopin is so personal and expressive!"

Someone else I heard whispering in the background: "Good grief - They're not still listening to fucking Chopin - Jesus!"

But the flamboyant Adrian, who always enjoyed showing off, was happy to oblige.

After shifting in their seats for some extended time the assembled audience clapped quietly and this was more than enough to encourage Adrian to play some more.  We were later to regret not shutting him down earlier for it turned out he been working on his life's splendid acheivement - Augustin Guane's classical masterpiece the 'Black Fugue'.

Pianist and composer Augustin Guane was born in 1783, the son of a Parisian prostitute and an unknown father, and studied music under strict Jesuit priests in a French orphanage as a boy.

Guane never got over the brutal demise of his Mother, beaten to death in front of him by an enraged client in 1789, and he threw himself into study of the piano at which he demonstrated considerable instinctive talent.  This had the benefit of allowing him to largely withdraw from the world around him while providing exposure to rich ladies on the Paris social scene - exactly the kind of women his mother had imitated in manner and dreamed of becoming.

In 1803, Guane, who had grown to be a large and profoundly ugly man, was committed to the Bicentre asylum following an unfortunate incident at a soiree in the parlour of Madame Bodday where he became confused and confessed his love for her in front of a number of guests after repeatedly addressing her as 'Mama'.

At Bicentre he met the Marquis de Sade and along with de Sade was later sent to Charenton asylum where they collaborated on two small volumes of debauched erotic poetry.  Guane often referred to de Sade as 'Father' and took part in many of the plays written by de Sade and acted out by inmates as a type of therapy.  It was during this period that he attempted to read, although he mostly misunderstood, Dante's Divina Commedia and developed a life philosophy based on part of the work - the journey through hell, purgatory and paradise.  Guane saw this as circular and ongoing - that we all pass through these stages in an ongoing circular journey.

He became obsessed with the concept of Hell and Paradise as polar opposites with purgatory as a transitional stage between the two.  He saw a darker, more intense Hell as a means of making paradise brighter and more holy, that great pain intensifies the experience of pleasure, that great wealth cannot be created without also creating great poverty, that night will appear darker if the day is brighter and so on.  During life on Earth, Guane thought, a person goes through 'hell' phases and 'paradise' phases.  Therefore, intensifying the 'hell' phase is a means by which to ensure greater virtue during the following 'paradise' phase.

With this in mind, he set out to capture and distill the essence of Man's greatest discomfiture, malevolence and evil into a piece of music. For him the means by which to achieve the highest divinity was by confronting and accentuating his most intense, debased wickedness.

The 'Black Fugue' occupied him for the rest of his life, is a depiction of Dante's nine circles of hell, and is a piece so diabolical in its heinous harmonic dissonance that few have ever attempted it - French authorities having been trying to suppress the piece for almost two centuries.  Guane died before completing the work - he was found dead by a priest at Charenton, fallen over his keyboard, the blood-stained manuscript between his left cheek and the piano keys.  When attendants came to remove the body, the manuscript stuck to Guane's face as if by magnetism and could only be removed with great care and effort.  It is said that the mental state of many of the other occupants of the Charenton Asylum improved markedly in the weeks immediately following Guane's death.  I learned later that Adrian had been working on this gruesome masterpiece for some decades and that this explained the long string of boyfriends/partners several of whom had committed suicide and/or sought counselling.

Adrian began the piece.  A shiver could be visibly seen to pass through the ladies present.  Facial expressions quickly changed from curious surprise, to alarm, disgust, and abject horror.  A fat gentleman fell off his chair.  The crash was not noticed over the din of the dischordant piano being violently hammered in wild sprays of arrhythmic dischord.  Everyone began simultaneously to break out in a sweat and to feel cold chills.  Someone had a bloody nose and had to leave the room.  One by one everyone else made for the door, some of them wobbling on their feet,  until Adrian had, as they say in the business, "cleared the stage".

Finally, Adrian, trembling, finished the piece, sat motionless except for a nervous shivering for about twenty minutes, and then got up and walked out, locking himself in his room for several days, leaving boyfriend Ken to wipe up the blood and snot from the piano.  Fortunately most of the guests had already left anyway.

That, dear readers, is why you should never give anyone with artistic pretensions any excuse whatsoever to control proceedings.  Shut them down.  Say politely but firmly "No!"

Currently listening:
Schubert: Piano Sonatas, D784, 840, 894, 959, 960
Release date: 2006-01-31
Wednesday, March 18, 2009 
Your author sat down for a serious inspection of the Employment pages on Saturday and was horrifed to find them a hollowed-out shadow of their recent selves.  Take out the advertising features and the opportunities available only to friendly, outgoing ladies aged 18-35 and there wasn't much left to pick over.

The depression is starting to bite, everyone's under pressure so everyone's cutting costs.  But one person's cost cutting is someone else's lost income.  You take the bus instead of a cab - the cab driver stays at home instead of treating his wife to a flash night out at the Ponderosa Steak House, the Ponderosa rosters off another short-order cook, and so it goes.

A recession is when an economy stops to take a breather. Technology replaces a few jobs, retail slows down because people already have all the toys they need for now, people stop buying stereos in stores or placing a classified ad in the paper and instead buy a cheap iPod fake on Ebay or, horror, do without - that kind of thing.  A recession in the long run is good and proper.  Factories re-tool, shops change their product lines, inefficient firms will go bust but in time the workers will move into more efficient firms or sectors where demand is increasing and the economy moves up and on.

A depression on the other hand is end of days. Game over.  Something really serious causes major structural change to the way things are done.  The economy slams into a brick wall.

Make no mistake, this here is a depression and the brick wall is resource limitations.  Globally, the finance industry, based on the issuing of credit today to be paid for with tomorrow's economic growth, ignored the limitations imposed on that growth that are inherent in reliance on a one-off endowment of fossil energy, notably oil.  Without an increase in oil production (or other source of cheap energy to fuel infinite economic growth), the business of making money out of money hits the shitter.

Aristotle is turning in his grave.  "Making money out of money was considered unnatural in my day", he tells me, "unlike sodomy.  What are you doing?"

"I'm taking notes," I say.

"Well, after you've chosen a good looking boy, you'll need some olive oil and..."

"No, about the economy."

"Oh, the global financial system has no soul - write that down!"

"No soul?" I ask, "What's soul got to do with it?  Didn't you say a person's soul was an aura of seven spheres, all intertwined on each other?"

"Nah - that was that old hack Plato," said Aristotle.  "I said that money as a medium of exchange makes an exchange possible by quantifying subjective qualitative merchandise against objective quantitative merchandise - or at least that's what I would have said if I was speaking English."

"What?", I said, "You make my head hurt.  How can anyone  transact an honourable exchange of qualitative ephemera such as souls for metaphorical constructs such as time or money that are quantitative?  Look what happened to Faust!"

"Typewriters weren't invented yet back in Ancient Greece," said Aristotle, "I wish I had one."

"I wish you'd stay on topic," I said. "Why?"

"So I could throw it out the window!"

"What for?"

"For dramatic effect."

"Alright then, why do want to make a dramatic gesture?"

"Because every idiot keeps misinterpreting what I say," said Aristotle, "what I meant is that money is a medium of exchange that makes possible the efficient use of resources in pursuit of a virtuous life. Or something like that, it was a long time ago, and besides I'm dead now, I can't quite recall."

"But it was one of my better ones!"
Currently listening:
Point Of Know Return
By Kansas
Release date: 2002-02-12
Thursday, February 05, 2009 

Current mood:  peaceful

A few months back, My Dad had a health scare which landed him in the Emergency Ward for a day and a night.  It was serious enough that after I took the phone call, I immediately left work to sit with him in the ward.  He was weak, drifting in and out of sleep, and was hooked up to a drip and various monitoring machines going beep that thankfully kept on rhythmically going beep.

When I arrived and several times during the course of the hours that I was there, a volunteer who was walking the ward in a fluorescent vest offered me coffee, made sure that I knew where the exits and the toilets were, the closest food outlet, where to find a magazine to read etc.

During one of his wakeful moments and when he was up to talking, which he did in between catching gasps of breath, I mentioned to Dad how these must be the very best of people, the volunteers, helping out in places like this.

My Dad is an unusual character.  An army man and a determined hard worker, he was strict with his sons when they were young and expected much of them.  As he expected much of himself.

Throughout my childhood, he studied law part-time.  I remember many times as a youngster, Mum would send me out to the study he built onto the garage to tell him to come in for dinner and there he would be huddled over his textbooks, his papers, in the dark of winter, the cold air filled with the smell of the old kerosene heater.

He finally qualified as a lawyer after his retirement and he entered the bar - a very proud moment for him.  Of course at his time of life, the standard career path for a young graduate was not available but he became a legal aid lawyer.  A good one so as far as I can tell.

So he defends the most hopeless, roughest of cases - people who can't afford to pay, people who will be straight back in court again.  Although he is paid by the Department of Justice, he mostly works way beyond the terms of his duty, putting in many additional unpaid hours of service and in this way is a community volunteer himself.

"The courts run on volunteers", Dad told me "People need advice and guidance, they to be shown where to go and when to go there - they need help with every problem you can imagine."

"What would happen without them?" I asked.

"The whole rotten system would fall over,"  He replied and fell back asleep.

I listened to the beeping machines and his hoarse and laboured breathing.  I began to fall into a doze and found my thoughts wandering, swirling into a cloud of dreams as I fell into a self-induced hypnosis of fatigue and contemplation on the nature of life and soul.

Came there a time on the Earth when there was drought and pestilence and there was no bread to eat and the people cried out in their hunger and there was much gnashing of teeth and praying unto false idols until there descended unto the Earth a fluorescent Angel who spaketh to all in confidently articulated rhetoric saying, "Give over thine idolatry and follow me, for I shall lead you unto the one true God and thou shall sit at his right hand in Heaven".

And the Angel made a broad, expansive motion with her right arm saying, "Lo, I give you economic theory and an efficient market hypothesis and the market shall be wisdom and saith the market, there is not enough bread, verily shall the price rise and shall this be a clear signal unto the farmer who shall plant more grain and verily shall the market be supplied for the cure for high prices shall be high prices."

"And, yea, in the meantime shall ye eat cake and Cinna-Bons and thou shalt go forth and multiply, double ye shall - every 42 years."

"And, um, there was one other thing, Oh yes - and buy gold!"

Hunger and pestilence now extinguished, economic prosperity for all lying ahead of them, the crowd thronging before the Angel did they verily return unto their houses made of ticky-tacky and fall to making as the beast of two backs with much avarice and multiplied did they at a compounding rate of 1.7 per cent per annum.

Blessed art thou for Economic Reasoning be thy name.

And delivered they unto the Market a surplus of grain, but remembering not the Angel and neglecting to buy gold they saith instead only "Fuck it, let's go bowling".

And did the representatives of men decouple the currency from the gold standard and did they then cause there to be myriad financial derivative products.  These men with their MBA's from prestigious institutes of learning but lacking in wisdom did fall they from grace unto the finance industry and thereto they brewed an anachronistic devil's broth of CDO's and CDS's and SIV's and other such instruments of financial ungodliness and worshipped they at the altar of fundamentalist consumerism.

But Lo! came there resource limitations and as a pox upon the landscape so the Sub-Prime mortgage did deliver unto the people a plague upon their houses made of ticky tacky.

A downturn - even a sharp one - in the business of finding the money for things, underwriting things, deal-making, generating profits out of someone else's cashflow, and many and various other slightly-this-side-of-legal methods of making money out of money doesn't halt the actual doing of things straight away.  It takes time for supply contracts and inventory stocks to run out, for organisations to implement cost-cutting measures, and for those cost-cutting activities to affect suppliers.  It takes time to lay off workers or to not replace those who leave.  It takes time for people to adjust their lifestyles in ways that make it possible for them to live on less credit.  This recession is only yet beginning.

The economy globally is predicated on continual growth as it operates on a mortgaging-of-the-future basis, paying for debt created today with expected future earnings. Until recently, banks were lending like the future was nothing but open blue sky.  What resulted was a highly-inflated, debt-burdened and overheated world.  Prices on assets like housing were at unsustainable historical highs and supplies of resources, particularly oil, were under stress.

Continual economic growth requires ever-increasing consumption.  By far the greatest single source of energy powering this growth is oil.  Oil also provides the base resource for a large number of raw materials - plastics, lubricants, asphalt, fibres, textiles etc.  Oil production has been flat since 2004 even as demand began to outpace supply.  Entry level economic theory would suggest that rising prices would result in an increase in investment in oil production bringing additional supplies to market - the cure for high prices is high prices.  But in the clamour for bargains at Wal-Mart, everyone forgot that this is only a simplified model that doesn't take into account finite, geological limits to resources or the full cost of the environmental consequences of their extraction and consumption.

What happens when the average man can't afford to buy the average house?  What happens is that either the wages of the average man will go up or the price of the house will go down.  That's how it is.  Prices of houses can't always rise - if they did no one could afford to live in them.  And what is the point of a house?  Is it residential property - a financial instrument , a source of cash resource, an opportunity for creative financial maneouvers?  Or is it a home - family, love and memories?  What has happened to the way we think about houses?  And what has happened to family values? 

The Market was in the grip of delusion - conjuring profits out of capital gains only is clearly unsustainable. Flipping each other houses at increasingly higher prices is just not the same as productive work.  Around the Anglo-Saxon world but notably in the US, the growth engine of the global economy, millions of consumers signed up for mortgages that they had no realistic hope of paying back unless the house they moved into went up in value.

Houses then began dropping in value - again the cure for high prices is high prices.  Prices rise until increases become unsustainable - in this case because of limits to energy resources - and then they correct.

The same is true in reverse - the cure for a recession is a recession.  Asset prices will fall until they make sense again.  When a wage-earner can afford to house his family then he will, when an investor can get a decent return in rents then he will buy assets.

We are just going to have to have this recession - there is nothing much anyone - even the US Federal Reserve - can do about it. 

In these times of trouble, volunteers and community groups need funding and support more than ever.  They are the ones who can make a difference because of the level that they work at - one-on-one with individuals, one-on-one listening and responding to particular and specific community needs, at the grass roots fixing real problems with real immediacy.  No community group is debasing the dollar by offering multi-billion dollar bailouts to whole industry sectors, no community group is proposing to fund massive programs of misguided infrastructure development, no community group - not a single one anywhere - is offering to stand guarantor on behalf of the taxpayer to finance company lending, community groups don't lend money at interest to people that can't afford to pay it back.

The Governments of Britain, the United States and Australia are embarking on massive programs of financial stimulus, essentially by printing money.  They want to spark up the world economy by encouraging consumers to start spending again - to jack up the supply of demand.  New Zealanders read about these programs in the news and clamour for our own Government to do something.  Ever eager to be seen to be responding, our politicians are coming up with their own wacky ideas for burning away taxpayer's money.

Surely they will achieve nothing more than turning a big problem into a bigger problem.  Too much spending on credit on houses and consumer goods is what caused this mess.  You don't cure an obesity epidemic by opening more McDonalds outlets, financial stimulus packages are nothing more than a 'hair of the dog that bit me' cure like trying to fix a hangover with a beer.  If the auto industry is bust, then let it go bust.  A financial lifeline just delays the inevitable while creating an additional burden to the taxpayer.

Communities under strain need support.  Not the kind of support that Governments will offer, we don't need a massive amount of misdirected Government spending, we need people.  People who care, people who are willing to give their time, people above all, who are willing to help whatever that might mean, wherever help is needed.

That's the social workers, the volunteers, the people who take minutes at community meetings, people who give free legal advice, people who organise fundraising events, set up community gardens, and give their time freely to help out at courts and hospital emergency wards.  Often the butt of jokes "Oh there's goes Marie - off organising someone again",  they deserve instead praise and support.  Help them as best you can.  One day they will help you.

I am very happy and relieved to report that Dad is a tough old bastard and appears to have made a full recovery.

The economy on the other hand...



Currently watching:
O Brother, Where Art Thou?
Release date: 2001-06-12
Sunday, January 11, 2009 

Current mood:  blank

Your author hopes very much that his MySpace friends had a fantastic Christmas and New Year.

Christmas for your author usually includes a holiday trip to Blenheim, New Zealand, where his family stays with his in-laws.  This year’s was an extended break lasting 11 days.  Father-in-law is a highly successful public administrator with PhD qualifications and former director of a significant international commission, mother-in-law a lawyer, brother-in-law a geo-mapping specialist, brother-in-law's partner manages a team of database administrators and here is your author - call-centre worker.  He sometimes feels himself pedestrian and undistinguished amongst this company.  The setting for holiday festivities being an orchard in a region of New Zealand that produces some of the world's finest sauvignon blanc.

Your author received a tour of the property and inspected a number of fruiting trees. A discussion was had about pruning, during the course of which your author commented that a tree at home was growing in an unkempt and rambling fashion but that he didn't really know anything about how to prune a tree.  "You take a look at the tree as it is now, decide what shape you want it to be, and cut it so", said father-in-law.  Your author had nothing further to add to this illuminating example of practical common sense and a brief and slightly uncomfortable period of silent contemplation followed.

In the face of financial crisis, trend-watchers say that frugality is becoming the new cool.  People are learning to be thrifty again.  Around the world, in an echo of the 30's Great Depression years, people are looking for entertainment without having to spend money.  In this spirit, somewhat ironically, those gathered played Monopoly.

As there were a large number of players and all were couples, the idea was mooted briefly of playing in teams of two but after discussion this idea was dismissed - Capitalism is a game best played individually.  Economic theory's central premise is that any society is simply a collection of individuals who will behave in ways consistent with their own self-interest.

According to the instructions page that comes with the set, the game of Monopoly was invented in the early 1930's by Charles Darrow.  Darrow was an unemployed heating engineer who retired a millionaire at age 46 becoming a gentleman farmer who travelled the world collecting species of exotic orchids. 
 
Darrow's history prior to selling the game of Monopoly to Parker Brothers seems a little uncertain.  In addition to an "unemployed heating engineer", your author's Google search finds him variously described as "a lecturer for a coal company", "a plumber", "a heating equipment salesman", a "laborer", and "an unemployed ne'er-do-well living off the earnings of his wife".

It turns out that in 1974, an economics professor by the name of Dr Ralph Anspach released a new board game called "Anti-Monopoly".  Anspach had played Monopoly with his children and became frustrated with trying to explain to them that contrary to the philosophy of the game, monopolies are actually a bad thing.  When he couldn't find another game available to demonstrate this point, he created his own.  Parker Bros sued Anspach for infringement of its trademark of the word Monopoly.  Anspach lost and by court order 40,000 copies of Anti-Monopoly were buried in a Minnesota landfill. But Anspach was a determined individual and after a court battle lasting over 10 years finally won an appeal in the Supreme Court.   During the course of his court ordeal, Dr Anspach uncovered a very different story about the creation of Parker Bros' Monopoly, the most successful board game ever.

In 1903, a Quaker resident of Virginia called Lizzie J. Magie, applied for a patent for a board game she invented called "The Landlords Game".  Magie was a supporter of the single-tax movement which proposed abolishing all taxation except for that upon land values.  Her interest was in creating a board game that educated lay folk about rent and taxation issues especially from the perspective of single-taxers (also known as Georgists after Henry George a leader of this movement).  Georgists believed that Capitalism could only work if no one was able to realise profits from ownership of land.  The ideas of Henry George have attracted a resurgence of interest in recent times amongst environmentalists as under Georgism, individuals own the results of their work but everything found in Nature belongs equally to everyone.  Taxing the land and only the land (or the fishery, forest, airwaves etc) therefore builds a cost of use of the natural resource into the pricing of commercial activity derived from the common resource without imposing a taxation burden on other economic activity.  The properties on Magie's board game are for rent only not purchase or trading but otherwise her game is remarkably similar to the Monopoly we know today.  She was granted a patent in 1904.

Through Quaker networks and single-tax enthusiasts, the game began to spread in popularity around the Eastern United States.  Players usually made their own playing boards by drawing them on cloth.  An early player called Priscilla Robertson wrote about her experiences playing The Landlords Game which was increasingly becoming known as "Auction Monopoly" and then simply "Monopoly":

"In those days those who wanted copies of the board for Monopoly took a piece of linen cloth and copied it in crayon. It was considered a point of honor not to sell it to a commercial manufacturer, since it had been worked out by a group of single taxers who were anxious to defeat the capitalist system."

The introduction to the instructions for Lizzie Magie's game state: "The object of this game is not only to afford amusement to players, but to illustrate to them how, under the present or prevailing system of land tenure, the landlord has an advantage over other enterprisers, and also how the single tax would discourage speculation."

Parker Brothers have a different outlook: "The idea of the game is to buy and rent or sell property so profitably that one becomes the wealthiest player and eventually monopolist...The game is one of shrewd and amusing trading and excitement."

Parker Brothers' views about how the game should be played seem consistent with the way they conducted business in the real marketplace.  Parker Bros had initially declined to purchase the Monopoly game after being approached by Charles Darrow - saying at the time that the game had "fifty-two fundamental errors".  Darrow, however, was having some limited success selling copies of the game on his own through department stores.  Robert M. Barton, who by his own admission during the Anspach Anti-Monopoly trials became president of Parker Bros by marrying the founder's daughter Sally, heard about the game after Sally took a phone call from a friend who raved to her about the copy she had bought at F.A.O Schwarz.  Barton went out to F.A.O Schwarz, bought a set and was up that night till 1 PM playing it.  He wrote to Darrow and they met three days later.  Parker Bros bought Monopoly outright and paid Darrow a royalty on every game sold.


Darrow had claimed that Monopoly was his "brain child" and that he had mapped it out on a piece of oilcloth having been inspired by a story about a commercial school he had heard about that was teaching students about scrip markets using play money.  In fact he had been introduced to it as a complete game in a hotel in Germantown, Pennsylvania.  Parker Bros, who had sustained considerable losses in the first years of the Depression, were having instant and considerable success with Monopoly.  In the first year they sold over a million sets.  Although in the meantime Darrow's fraud had become known to Robert Barton, Parker Bros were reluctant to give up copyright on a major success so Barton began a campaign of buying up previous incarnations of the Monopoly game.

Barton located Lizzie Magie and bought the Landlords Game from her for $500.  She was happy for the game to be marketed by a major distributor as she wanted to educate folks and demonstrate how property owners became rich at the expense of impoverished tenants.  She received no royalties.  Parker Bros marketed the landlords game for a brief period and then shelved it.

In the 1920's, a character called Dan Layman had released a version of the game called "Finance".  Layman testified during the course of the legal proceedings against Dr Anspach's Anti-Monopoly in the Seventies:

"I understood from various attorney friends of mine that because Monopoly had been used as the name of this exact game, both in Indianapolis and in Reading and in Williamstown, Massachusetts, that it was, therefore, in public domain and that I couldn't protect it in any way. So, I changed the name in order to have some protection."

A friend who had played Monopoly with Dan Layman during their college years heard about the court proceedings and wrote Layman a letter in which he commented sarcastically, "They forgot to mention that when Darrow died, he was working on the  invention of the wheel."

Layman had been a victim of the Depression and in desperation sold the rights to Finance to small games manufacturer David Knapp for just $200.  Robert Barton from Parker Bros paid Knapp $10,000 to hand over rights to the game and keep his mouth shut about its history.

A Texan named Rudy Copeland had been producing a game called "Inflation".  Parker Bros sued him for copyright infringement.  Copeland counter-sued saying that copyright on Charles Darrow's game was invalid.  Fearful of the consequences of the true story of Monopoly becoming public knowledge, Parker Bros immediately settled with another $10,000 in return for Copeland surrendering his rights and keeping quiet.

Prep school friends of Dan Layman had been fanatical players who had worked on a set of rules and had some game boards.  These were in the possession of two brothers Fred and Louis Thun.  The Thun brothers had also considered patenting the game but became aware of Lizzie Magie's patent and rightly knew they couldn't patent something they didn't invent themselves.  They instead copyrighted their own version of the rules which they tried unsuccessfully to sell to Macy's and Saks Fifth Avenue before giving it up.  Robert Barton from Parker Bros called on Louis Thun in 1935 and paid him $50 each for the remaining game boards.

In this way, Parker Bros secured the monopoly on Monopoly.

Thun, who spent his working life running his family's textile machine business, testified during the Anspach Anti-Monopoly trial about Barton's visit:

"I told him it wasn't at all clear to me how Mr. Darrow could be the inventor of a game... we'd played since 1925. I said I was in the machine business and he was in the game business, and I was going to leave it at that."

Cute rags to riches stories like that of Charles Darrow are easy to perpetuate and enhance the appeal of a product like Monopoly because they sit so nicely with the central myth of Western Capitalism - that anyone with enough wit or anyone prepared to work hard enough can get rich and prosper.  This is the central tenet that we all buy into that has kept Western Democracies functioning under something like orderly control so far but just like the folky little story that Charles Darrow invented Monopoly by himself on a piece of cloth on his kitchen table it is total bullcrap.

As a representation of free markets the game not surprisingly falls well short.  Remember it is almost identical to Lizzie Magie's Landlords Game which was intended to demonstrate what Magie perceived to be an unfair compulsion that landlords are able to impose on tenants to pay rent.  In Monopoly imposing that compulsion on a player who happens to land on your property by chance is the stated goal.  Free marketeers and economists see markets as a system by which willing players come together to trade.  Monopoly disregards the choice of market players to participate in a particular trade or not.  Consumer choice is absent and instead players participate by roll of the dice and are compelled to move accordingly.

The one monopolistic constant regardless of how any particular game may play out is the bank's monopoly on issuing money.   The game realistically has a central bank with the ability to inflate the currency.  The rules state that the bank 'never goes bankrupt'.  In the event that the bank runs out of money, players are to use slips of paper.


On one occasion when the bank ran out of money during a 161-hour game held at the University of Pittsburgh in 1961, players wired Parker Bros who "bailed out" the bank by air-freighting extra money to Pittsburgh, delivering it to the campus from the airport by armoured car.

The problem with bailouts is they prolong the game but can't keep it going forever.  Sooner or later players drop out as they can no longer afford to participate until the money has concentrated into the hands of the winner at which point the money becomes just useless slips of paper again as no new players are coming in to replace those who have gone bust. Winning a game of Monopoly is a uniquely lonely and empty experience.

Empty and lonely like a home after a housing bubble that ran out of a supply of new chumps to sign up a mortgage at a higher price than the guy before them.

That's your author's opinion.

And he won the Monopoly.

Currently listening:
Blue
By Joni Mitchell
Release date: 1990-10-25
Thursday, December 18, 2008 

Current mood:  exhausted

On Friday night, your author had the privilege of attending his daughter's final school disco for the year - the theme being 'Christmas Celebrations' (some outside the box thinking going on there).

He was a little horrified by the number of parents who 'dump and run' i.e. drop off their kids and make a hasty exit.  Your author, who is as stiff as a board and not used to school dances, momentarily entertained thoughts of doing the same.  However, surrounded by young innocence and enthusiasm, he was soon taken in by the infectious atmosphere and even got up for the 'chicken dance'.
 
The DJ worked the crowd with liberal distribution of chocolatey treats for best and most original dancing and much fun was had by all even if the choice of songs seemed somewhat dubious for 5 and 6 year old ears, to quote: 'Go heavy go with it,  Get ya sexy up' and 'It's Britney, Bitch, I'm Missis extra-sextra-licious baby!'


Following these heady numbers, there was a short break to allow the parents in attendance a chance to catch their breath and for distribution of snacks to the little ones - a bag of chippies, a chocolate bar and a fizzy drink each - so both major food groups (sugar and salt) plus hydration all checked off.


The community spirit exhibited by a group of children - at least these small children anyway - was wonderful and enlightening to behold.  They were all equal in each other's eyes, all of them naive and non-judgemental.


What do we do to protect these beautiful little monkeys from the disappointment many will face when the community they grow up in turns its back on them and expects them to take individual responsibility for both the good fortune they may happen across and the mistakes they make in life?


Goethe said, 'If everyone swept his own doorsteps, what a clean world it would be' but here in the real world your author notes citizens who have no doorstep while others pay teams of workers to clean their many doorsteps on their behalf.  A fair and equitable society has never yet existed ever.  There has never been a society able to enjoy the comforts and benefits of its technology in a sustainable way, and like perpetual motion, an investment that provides a return without risk is an appealing idea but one that has yet to be realised.


What we have today in the western world is as close as we have got so far; though we largely rely on fossil energy to support our current arrangements and minus the distracting seductions of TV and the Nintendo Wii the young and the disaffected may likely take to the streets in unrestrainable numbers for bouts of fresh air and destructive exercise.  Like Goethe's Faust we have sold our souls but remain unsatisfied.


Those of us who grew up in more positive times of hope and economic growth may misguidedly see only a temporary downturn ahead of us but increasingly the young are growing up to find the McStanky old malls barren and sterile, alienating and not worth preserving.  Not worth going to war for, not worth buying into the culture that built them, the future only hopelessness and decay.  They find no sense of belonging and nothing more stimulating to occupy their evenings than to gather in the alleyways with their butts hanging out of their pants, crotch flapping about their knees as they inhale the contents of spray cans out of plastic bags and offend the passing old people with their attitudes and appearance.


Your author used to piss his parents off by growing his hair long - how times have changed!

Currently listening:
Lady in Satin
By Billie Holiday
Release date: 1997-09-23