And tonight is far from certain.

AJ Burnet has been very inconsistent all year, being one of the best starters for a few weeks and then one of the worst for another stretch of time; you never know when "Bad AJ" will show up. Pitching on 3 days rest seems like a good time to see a 4 or 5 run inning.

Besides, if you follow baseball at all you know how good the Phils are at scoring runs. They are not going down quetly forever.

So. lets say the Phils win tonight, I think they will quite handily. THEN you have a guy with a history of arm and shoulder problems going on short rest in cold weather, which Pettitte pretty much never does. With Cliff Lee on the mound, game 6 in NY will almost certainly go to the red pinstripers.

So you go to a game 7, where the Yanks have CC and home field advantage against - well, the Phillies have no idea who they will pitch. But this old man remembers Mazeroski's home run giving a disrespected Pirate team a 7-game Series win. You never know what will happen in a game 7.

So, close it out tonight, break out the bats and get the ball to Mariano!!